Question

The expectations-augmented Phillips curve is: u = u* − α(π − πᵉ). An adverse oil price supply shock occurs. Which correctly describes short-run and long-run consequences?

A Short run: both u and π rise (stagflation), curve shifts right; long run: economy returns to u* at the original inflation rate as oil prices normalise (temporary shock case)
B Short run: u falls and π rises, moving along the existing curve; long run: curve shifts left as expectations adjust
C Short run: stagflation — u* rises, curve shifts right; long run: if shock is permanent, the long-run vertical Phillips curve also shifts right to a higher u*, and the economy settles at the new higher u* with any chosen inflation rate
D Supply shocks do not affect the Phillips curve — they only shift the IS curve in the AD-AS framework
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