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      Question

      A biased coin shows heads with probability 0.3. If it is

      tossed 5 times, what is the probability of getting no more than 2 heads?
      A 0.837 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer
      B 0.729 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer
      C 0.913 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer
      D 0.475 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer

      Solution

      We are given:

      • A biased coin has P(H) = 0.3, so P(T) = 0.7
      • The coin is tossed 5 times
      • We need to find the probability of getting no more than 2 heads, i.e., 0, 1, or 2 heads
      This is a binomial probability problem. Use binomial formula The binomial probability formula is: P(X = k) = C(n, k) Γ— (p)k Γ— (1 – p)n-k Here:
      • n = 5 (number of trials)
      • p = 0.3 (probability of head)
      • k = number of heads (we’ll calculate for 0, 1, and 2)
      Calculate individual probabilities P(0 heads) = C(5, 0) Γ— (0.3)^0 Γ— (0.7)^5 = 1 Γ— 1 Γ— 0.16807 = 0.16807 P(1 head) = C(5, 1) Γ— (0.3)^1 Γ— (0.7)^4 = 5 Γ— 0.3 Γ— 0.2401 = 5 Γ— 0.07203 = 0.36015 P(2 heads) = C(5, 2) Γ— (0.3)^2 Γ— (0.7)^3 = 10 Γ— 0.09 Γ— 0.343 = 10 Γ— 0.03087 = 0.3087 Add the probabilities P(X ≀ 2) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2) = 0.16807 + 0.36015 + 0.3087 = 0.83692 Rounding to 3 decimal places: 0.837

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