Question

The last period’s forecast was 70 and demand was 60. What is the simple exponential smoothing forecast with alpha of 0.4 for the next period?

A 63.8 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer
B 65 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer
C 62 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer
D 66 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer
E 69 Correct Answer Incorrect Answer

Solution

S(t-1 )= 70

X(t) = 60

Alpha = 0.4

s t  = αx t +(1 – α)s t-1 = s t-1 + α(x t  – s t-1 )

Substituting the values we get,

0.4*60 + 0.6*70= 24 + 42= 66

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